With their patched-up squad and heavy workload, Roma are vulnerable to a buoyant Salernitana side - particularly as they lack sufficient firepower up front. The visitors do not tend to travel well, but on current form they can pick up a point at the Olimpico.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 69.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.55%) and 3-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.14) 
0.06) 
