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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 29, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Milan logo
Roma
1 - 1
AC Milan
Abraham (90+4')
Matic (24'), Ibanez (71'), Cristante (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Saelemaekers (90+7')
Tomori (16'), Krunic (75')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Roma
Monday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-1 AC Milan

Though Milan were within touching distance of victory over Roma at San Siro, they ultimately had to settle for a point, and the sides may finish level again at the Olimpico. Neck-and-neck in the Serie A standings, they are closely matched this season - and the hosts are generally tough to beat on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
RomaDrawAC Milan
47.43% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 26.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 26.5% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.94% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.17% (0.048999999999999 0.05)53.83% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.71% (0.039999999999999 0.04)75.3% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (0.045000000000002 0.05)22.69% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (0.064 0.06)56.35% (-0.061 -0.06)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.61%35.4% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.84%72.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Roma 47.42%
    AC Milan 26.5%
    Draw 26.07%
RomaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 47.42%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.03% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 26.5%

How you voted: Roma vs AC Milan

Roma
34.8%
Draw
28.9%
AC Milan
36.3%
135
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 17
AC Milan
2-2
Roma
Kalulu (30'), Pobega (77')
Leao (26'), Bennacer (62'), Tomori (68'), Tonali (72'), Pioli (73')
Ibanez (87'), Abraham (90+3')
Celik (9'), Zalewski (30'), Zaniolo (45'), Ibanez (82'), Matic (90+1'), Abraham (90+6')
Jan 6, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 20
AC Milan
3-1
Roma
Giroud (8' pen.), Messias (17'), Leao (81')
Hernandez (44'), Krunic (56')
Abraham (40')
Abraham (7'), Zaniolo (18'), Karsdorp (44'), Mancini (84')
Karsdorp (74'), Mancini (90+3')
Oct 31, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 11
Roma
1-2
AC Milan
El Shaarawy (90+3')
Zaniolo (7'), Karsdorp (24'), Mancini (49'), Veretout (90+7')
Ibrahimovic (26'), Kessie (57' pen.)
Ibrahimovic (27'), Hernandez (41'), Tomori (65'), Calabria (67'), Giroud (77'), Kessie (81')
Hernandez (66')
Feb 28, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Roma
1-2
AC Milan
Veretout (50')
Fazio (42'), Mkhitaryan (80'), Pellegrini (89')
Kessie (42' pen.), Rebic (58')
Saelemaekers (46'), Calabria (85'), Castillejo (90+5')
Oct 26, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 5
AC Milan
3-3
Roma
Ibrahimovic (2', 79' pen.), Saelemaekers (47')
Leao (70'), Ibrahimovic (75'), Hernandez (82')
Dzeko (14'), Veretout (71' pen.), Kumbulla (84')
Pedro (77'), Cristante (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli37276475284787
2Lazio37218858302871
3Inter Milan372231270422869
4AC Milan371910861421967
5Atalanta BCAtalanta371871261461561
6Roma371791148371160
7Juventus372161055332259
8Torino371411124240253
9Fiorentina371411125042853
10Monza371410134647-152
11Bologna371312125047351
12Udinese371113134747046
13SassuoloSassuolo37129164658-1245
14Empoli371013143747-1043
15Salernitana37915134860-1242
16Lecce37812173143-1236
17SpeziaSpezia37613183060-3031
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37710203056-2631
19Cremonese37412213469-3524
RSampdoria37310242469-4519

Real Madrid Until The End
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