

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Empoli |
| 65.77% ( | 20.46% ( | 13.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.41% ( | 47.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.21% ( | 69.79% ( |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.36% ( | 13.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.19% ( | 40.81% |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.19% ( | 45.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.43% ( | 81.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% ( 2-0 @ 12.39% ( 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 3-0 @ 8.24% ( 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 4-0 @ 4.1% ( 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 5-0 @ 1.64% ( 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 4-2 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 65.76% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 2-2 @ 3.78% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 20.46% | 0-1 @ 4.88% ( 1-2 @ 3.79% ( 0-2 @ 1.9% ( 1-3 @ 0.99% ( 2-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.22% Total : 13.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
