Atalanta are often more dangerous away from home, especially in big matches due to their proficiency in transition, but they appear to have lost form at a crucial time in the season.
Milan, on the other hand, have rediscovered the winning grit that saw them reclaim Serie A's title last season, and we can envisage them edging a tight victory on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
-0.35) 
0.43) 
