Such has been Milan's collapse over recent weeks, it is hard to see them rallying for the Derby della Madonnina and preventing an Inter victory. While not quite the finished article, the Nerazzurri are more likely to win the midfield battle and boast plenty of possible goalscorers.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.
-0.28) 
0.08) 
