Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan | 
| 48.17% | 23.98% | 27.85% | 
| Both teams to score 57.65% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.78% | 44.22% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.4% | 66.6% | 
| Inter Milan Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.52% | 18.49% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.31% | 49.7% | 
| AC Milan Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.72% | 29.28% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.75% | 65.25% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan | 
| 2-1 @ 9.47% 1-0 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 5.33% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 2.25% 4-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.43% Total : 48.17% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 6.89% 0-1 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 4.08% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.35% Total : 27.85% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 15 | 36 | 56 | 
| 2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 | 
| 3 | Roma | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 40 | 
| 4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 38 | 
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 38 | 
| 6 | AC Milan | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 38 | 
| 7 | Torino | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 30 | 
| 8 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 29 | 
| 9 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 29 | 
| 10 | Empoli | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 26 | 
| 11 | Monza | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 | 
| 12 | Fiorentina | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 | 
| 13 | Juventus | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 23 | 
| 14 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 23 | 
| 15 | SassuoloSassuolo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 23 | 
| 16 | Salernitana | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 21 | 
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | -18 | 18 | 
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 13 | 
| 19 | Sampdoria | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 9 | 
| 20 | Cremonese | 21 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 | 
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