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Milan logo
Coppa Italia | Final
Jan 13, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Siro
Genoa logo
AC Milan
3 - 1
Genoa
Giroud (74'), Leao (102'), Saelemaekers (112')
Tonali (42'), Saelemaekers (115')
FT
(aet)
Skiri Oestigaard (17')
Badelj (37'), Yeboah (47'), Skiri Oestigaard (53'), Hefti (64')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between AC Milan and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We say: AC Milan 2-0 Genoa

Even though Genoa will be desperate to put an end to their miserable winless run, everything points towards a routine victory for Milan on Thursday. The hosts will without a few key players but Pioli is set to name a side strong enough to get the job done at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 68.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.97%).

Result
AC MilanDrawGenoa
68.62%18.53%12.86%
Both teams to score 50.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.87%41.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.48%63.52%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.07%10.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.87%35.13%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.85%43.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.58%79.42%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 68.61%
    Genoa 12.86%
    Draw 18.53%
AC MilanDrawGenoa
2-0 @ 11.55%
1-0 @ 10.44%
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 8.53%
3-1 @ 7.17%
4-0 @ 4.72%
4-1 @ 3.97%
3-2 @ 3.01%
5-0 @ 2.09%
5-1 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 1.67%
Other @ 4%
Total : 68.61%
1-1 @ 8.78%
0-0 @ 4.72%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 18.53%
0-1 @ 3.97%
1-2 @ 3.69%
0-2 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.14%
1-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 12.86%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Genoa

AC Milan
90.3%
Draw
7.3%
Genoa
2.4%
124

Prediction and betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Genoa
0-3
AC Milan

Masiello (67'), Rovella (73')
Ibrahimovic (10'), Messias (45+2', 61')
Gabbia (32')
Apr 18, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 31
AC Milan
2-1
Genoa
Rebic (13'), Scamacca (68' og.)
Destro (37')
Goldaniga (26')
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Genoa
2-2
AC Milan
Destro (47', 60')
Pellegrini (18'), Radovanovic (87')
Calabria (52'), Kalulu (83')
Romagnoli (25'), Castillejo (54'), Leao (83')
Mar 8, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 26
AC Milan
1-2
Genoa
Pandev (7'), Cassata (41')
Oct 5, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Genoa
1-2
AC Milan
Schone (41')
Zapata (23'), Lerager (64'), Schone (67'), Romero (88')
Saponara (45'), Biraschi (57')
Hernandez (51'), Kessie (57' pen.)
Calabria (43'), Biglia (62'), Paqueta (84')
Calabria (79'), Castillejo (94')
[nma]
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