Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 7, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Dortmund4 - 2Union Berlin
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dortmund 0-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-3 Braga
Tuesday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Tuesday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Champions League
We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Union Berlin
What we have here are two sides with completely contrasting forms. Dortmund's home record has been incredible for over a year now, and their record against this opponent adds to our confidence that they will secure another win here. Unfortunately for the visitors, if that is to be the case, it will equate to their seventh consecutive loss in all competitions. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 57.26%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 21.79% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Union Berlin |
57.26% ( 0.31) | 20.95% ( -0.05) | 21.79% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 61.54% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
