Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Freiburg2 - 4Dortmund
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-0 Freiburg
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 2-2 Heidenheim
Friday, September 1 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, September 1 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Freiburg 2-2 Borussia Dortmund
We expect Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund to dish up a high-scoring thriller as both sides bid to return to winning ways, with a draw looking like the most probable outcome at the Europa-Park Stadion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.81%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 21.14% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.56%) and 1-3 (7.05%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (5.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
21.14% ( 0.35) | 20.05% ( 0.4) | 58.81% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 63.92% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
