Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.