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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
24.43% (![]() | 22.35% (![]() | 53.22% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.99% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.36% (![]() | 39.64% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.01% (![]() | 61.99% (![]() |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.54% (![]() | 29.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.53% (![]() | 65.47% (![]() |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.04% (![]() | 14.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.63% (![]() | 43.37% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 6.25% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 3.2% Total : 24.43% | 1-1 @ 10.23% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.94% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 9.72% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.37% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.95% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |