Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Freiburg
0 - 1
RB Leipzig
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Freiburg 1-5 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 1-5 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
We said: Freiburg 1-2 RB Leipzig
Leipzig will be hoping that Freiburg are still reeling from the effects of Tuesday's heavy defeat as they aim to climb above Saturday's opponents into the top four with another victory the Europa-Park Stadion. The hosts will be keen to put things right and respond well with an improved performance, but considering the threat that the visitors pose in attack, we expect Die Roten Bullen to outscore their opponents once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
24.43% ( -0.04) | 22.35% ( 0.06) | 53.22% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.99% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.36% ( -0.34) | 39.64% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.01% ( -0.35) | 61.99% ( 0.35) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( -0.22) | 29.46% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.53% ( -0.27) | 65.47% ( 0.27) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.04% ( -0.13) | 14.96% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.63% ( -0.24) | 43.37% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
Freiburg 24.43%
RB Leipzig 53.22%
Draw 22.35%
| Freiburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 6.25% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 3.2% Total : 24.43% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 6.16% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.39% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.22% |
How you voted: Freiburg vs RB Leipzig
Freiburg
28.6%Draw
12.7%RB Leipzig
58.7%63
Form Guide
