

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.6%) and 0-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | RB Leipzig | 
| 19.11% (  0.01) | 20.08% (  0.01) | 60.81% (  -0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 60.23% (  -0.03) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 64.23% (  -0.05) | 35.77% (  0.05) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 42.16% (  -0.05) | 57.85% (  0.05) | 
| VfL Bochum Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68% (  -0.02) | 32% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.54% (  -0.03) | 68.46% (  0.03) | 
| RB Leipzig Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 88.57% (  -0.02) | 11.43% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.78% (  -0.04) | 36.22% (  0.04) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| VfL Bochum | Draw | RB Leipzig | 
| 2-1 @ 5.15% (  0) 1-0 @ 4.17% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 2.37% (  0) 3-2 @ 2.12% (  -0) 3-1 @ 1.96% 3-0 @ 0.9% (  0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 19.11% | 1-1 @ 9.04% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 5.59% (  -0) 0-0 @ 3.66% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 1.53% (  -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.08% | 1-2 @ 9.8% (  0) 0-2 @ 8.6% (  0.01) 0-1 @ 7.93% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 7.09% (  -0) 0-3 @ 6.22% 2-3 @ 4.04% (  -0) 1-4 @ 3.84% (  -0) 0-4 @ 3.37% (  -0) 2-4 @ 2.19% (  -0) 1-5 @ 1.67% (  -0) 0-5 @ 1.46% (  -0) 2-5 @ 0.95% (  -0) Other @ 3.64% Total : 60.81% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 | 
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 | 
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 | 
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 | 
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 | 
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 | 
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 | 
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 | 
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 | 
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 | 
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 | 
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 | 
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 | 
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 | 
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 | 
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