

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 71.62%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 11.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 71.62% ( | 16.72% ( | 11.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.42% ( | 35.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.37% ( | 57.63% ( |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.26% ( | 8.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.96% ( | 30.04% ( |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.56% ( | 41.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.05% ( | 77.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 2-0 @ 10.75% ( 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 3-0 @ 8.74% ( 3-1 @ 7.7% ( 4-0 @ 5.33% ( 4-1 @ 4.69% ( 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 5-0 @ 2.6% ( 5-1 @ 2.29% ( 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 6-0 @ 1.05% ( 5-2 @ 1.01% ( 6-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 71.62% | 1-1 @ 7.78% ( 2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0-0 @ 3.62% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.72% | 1-2 @ 3.43% ( 0-1 @ 3.19% ( 0-2 @ 1.41% ( 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 1-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.41% Total : 11.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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