

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Hoffenheim | 
| 39.6% | 25.19% | 35.2% (  -0) | 
| Both teams to score 56.9% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.31% (  -0) | 46.69% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.04% (  -0) | 68.96% | 
| VfL Bochum Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.63% | 23.36% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.66% | 57.33% | 
| Hoffenheim Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.25% (  -0) | 25.75% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.31% (  -0) | 60.68% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Hoffenheim | 
| 1-0 @ 8.75% 2-1 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.6% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 5.85% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 8.16% 1-2 @ 8.05% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.43% Total : 35.2% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 | 
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 | 
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 | 
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 | 
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 | 
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 | 
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 | 
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 | 
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 | 
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 | 
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 | 
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 | 
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 | 
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 | 
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 | 
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