Confidence is hardly sky-high in either camp right now, but Bochum should at least take some inspiration from their pair of victories over Hoffenheim in the 2021-22 season, and Reis's side will need such motivation to carry them over the line amid their fresh injury problems.
Breitenreiter will have also been forced to rethink tactically for Saturday's contest, but the hosts boast the more potent attacking options, and we can picture them emerging victorious by a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 50.6%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
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