Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.