| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 34 | 12 | 55 |
| 7 | FC Koln | 34 | 3 | 52 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | VfL Bochum | 34 | -14 | 42 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 34 | -17 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 52.25%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 52.25% | 22.63% | 25.12% |
| Both teams to score 59.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.78% | 40.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.41% | 62.59% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.51% | 15.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.63% | 44.37% |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% | 29.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.82% | 65.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% 1-0 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 6.02% 3-0 @ 4.9% 3-2 @ 3.7% 4-1 @ 2.81% 4-0 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.76% Total : 52.25% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-1 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.42% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.28% Total : 25.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 61 | 21 | 40 | 43 |
| 2 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 42 |
| 3 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 40 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 40 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 39 |
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 30 |
| 8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 29 |
| 9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 27 |
| 10 | Werder Bremen | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 26 |
| 12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 26 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 24 |
| 14 | Stuttgart | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 19 |
| 16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 |
| 17 | Hertha Berlin | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 12 |
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