Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 45.65% ( | 24.7% ( | 29.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.65% ( | 46.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.36% ( | 68.63% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% ( | 20.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.2% ( | 52.8% ( |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( | 29.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.98% ( | 65.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 3-0 @ 3.98% ( 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.65% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0-2 @ 4.52% ( 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 1-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 31 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 68 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 58 | 32 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 74 | 44 | 30 | 55 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 51 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 48 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 47 |
| 7 | Montrose | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Clyde | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 17 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 31 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 15 | 74 | -59 | 15 |
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