Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Sagan Tosu - J1 League - April 9, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Sagan Tosu
58.35% ( -0.44)	22.09% ( 0.13)	19.56% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 53.93% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.58% (

-0.12)

44.42% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.21% (

-0.12)

66.79% (

0.11)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.08% (

-0.18)

14.92% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.7% (

-0.35)

43.3% (

0.34)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.39% (

0.26)

36.61% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.6% (

0.26)

73.4% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 58.35%

Sagan Tosu 19.56%

Draw 22.09%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 3% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 58.35%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.09%	0-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.72% Total : 19.56%