

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 80.27%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 6.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 80.27% ( | 12.75% ( | 6.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.27% ( | 31.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.75% ( | 53.24% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.89% ( | 6.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 76.83% ( | 23.17% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.46% ( | 48.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.38% ( | 83.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-0 @ 11.58% ( 3-0 @ 10.79% ( 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 3-1 @ 7.8% ( 4-0 @ 7.55% ( 4-1 @ 5.46% ( 5-0 @ 4.22% ( 5-1 @ 3.05% ( 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 6-0 @ 1.97% ( 6-1 @ 1.42% ( 5-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 3.87% Total : 80.26% | 1-1 @ 5.99% ( 2-2 @ 3.03% ( 0-0 @ 2.96% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 12.75% | 1-2 @ 2.16% ( 0-1 @ 2.14% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 6.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
