Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.64%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 12.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 1-3 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven | 
| 12.47% ( | 15.89% ( | 71.64% ( | 
| Both teams to score 59.76% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 70.96% ( | 29.04% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 49.98% ( | 50.02% ( | 
| FC Volendam Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.36% ( | 35.64% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.59% ( | 72.41% ( | 
| PSV Eindhoven Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 92.86% ( | 7.14% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 74.01% ( | 25.99% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| FC Volendam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven | 
| 2-1 @ 3.58% ( 1-0 @ 2.63% ( 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 2-0 @ 1.36% ( 3-1 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 12.47%  | 1-1 @ 6.93% ( 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0-0 @ 2.55% ( 3-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 15.89%  | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0-2 @ 8.86% ( 1-3 @ 8.05% ( 0-3 @ 7.8% ( 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 1-4 @ 5.31% ( 0-4 @ 5.15% ( 2-3 @ 4.15% ( 1-5 @ 2.8% ( 2-4 @ 2.74% ( 0-5 @ 2.72% ( 2-5 @ 1.45% ( 1-6 @ 1.23% ( 0-6 @ 1.2% ( 3-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 71.64%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 | 
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 | 
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 | 
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 | 
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 | 
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 | 
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 | 
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 | 
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 | 
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 | 
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 | 
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
