

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 83.42%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 5.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.56%) and 4-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.23%), while for a Cambuur win it was 0-1 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Cambuur |
| 83.42% ( | 11.1% ( | 5.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.11% ( | 29.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.94% ( | 51.06% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.82% ( | 5.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 79.49% ( | 20.51% ( |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.37% ( | 51.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 14.24% ( | 85.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-0 @ 11.71% ( 3-0 @ 11.56% ( 4-0 @ 8.56% ( 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 3-1 @ 7.65% ( 4-1 @ 5.66% ( 5-0 @ 5.07% ( 5-1 @ 3.35% ( 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 6-0 @ 2.5% ( 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 6-1 @ 1.65% ( 5-2 @ 1.11% ( 7-0 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 3.48% Total : 83.41% | 1-1 @ 5.23% ( 0-0 @ 2.67% ( 2-2 @ 2.56% ( Other @ 0.63% Total : 11.1% | 0-1 @ 1.77% ( 1-2 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 5.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 73 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 |
| 3 | Ajax | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 62 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 60 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 53 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 52 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 45 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 38 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 38 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 32 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 31 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 30 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 28 |
| 17 | Groningen | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 61 | -40 | 16 |
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