Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 45.61% ( | 22.74% ( | 31.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.89% ( | 36.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.78% ( | 58.22% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.66% ( | 16.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.07% ( | 45.93% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% ( | 22.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.54% ( | 56.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 1-0 @ 6.74% ( 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 3-2 @ 4.04% ( 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 4-3 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 3.68% Total : 45.61% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 2-2 @ 6.68% ( 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.99% ( Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0-2 @ 4.07% ( 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 2-4 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 61 |
| 2 | Ajax | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 55 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 67 | 31 | 36 | 53 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 53 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 47 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
| 10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 32 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
| 13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 24 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 23 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 21 |
| 17 | Groningen | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 49 | -29 | 16 |
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