

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 69.53%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 13.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.38%) and 1-3 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 13.46% ( | 17.02% ( | 69.53% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.77% ( | 32.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.17% ( | 53.83% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.58% ( | 36.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.79% ( | 73.21% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.64% ( | 8.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.9% ( | 29.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 3.85% ( 1-0 @ 3.07% ( 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 2-0 @ 1.55% ( 3-1 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 13.46% | 1-1 @ 7.63% ( 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 17.02% | 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0-2 @ 9.38% ( 1-3 @ 7.84% ( 0-3 @ 7.76% ( 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 1-4 @ 4.86% ( 0-4 @ 4.81% ( 2-3 @ 3.96% ( 2-4 @ 2.46% ( 1-5 @ 2.41% ( 0-5 @ 2.39% ( 2-5 @ 1.22% ( 1-6 @ 1% ( 0-6 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 3.44% Total : 69.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 76 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 |
| 3 | Ajax | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 63 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 61 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 58 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 53 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 42 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 38 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 37 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39 | 66 | -27 | 33 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 29 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 28 |
| R | Groningen | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 18 |
| R | Cambuur | 32 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 16 |
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