Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Emmen | 
| 38.27% (  0.01) | 24.85% | 36.88% (  -0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 58.29% (  -0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.02% (  -0.02) | 44.97% (  0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.67% (  -0.02) | 67.33% (  0.02) | 
| Fortuna Sittard Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.71% (  -0.01) | 23.28% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.78% (  -0.01) | 57.22% (  -0) | 
| Emmen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.98% (  -0.02) | 24.02% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.72% (  -0.03) | 58.28% (  0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Emmen | 
| 2-1 @ 8.47% (  0) 1-0 @ 8.15% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 5.94% (  0) 3-1 @ 4.12% (  0) 3-2 @ 2.94% (  -0) 3-0 @ 2.89% (  0) 4-1 @ 1.5% (  0) 4-2 @ 1.07% (  -0) 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.27% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 2-2 @ 6.04% (  -0) 0-0 @ 5.59% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.4% (  -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 8.29% (  -0) 0-1 @ 7.98% (  0) 0-2 @ 5.69% (  -0) 1-3 @ 3.94% (  -0) 2-3 @ 2.87% (  -0) 0-3 @ 2.71% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1.41% (  -0) 2-4 @ 1.02% (  -0) 0-4 @ 0.96% (  -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 36.88% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 44 | 
| 2 | Feyenoord | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 | 
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 42 | 
| 4 | Ajax | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 56 | 21 | 35 | 40 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 37 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 34 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 27 | 
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 26 | 
| 10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 26 | 
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 | 
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 | 
| 13 | Vitesse | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 20 | 
| 14 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 20 | 
| 15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 17 | 
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 16 | 
| 17 | Cambuur | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 13 | 
| 18 | Groningen | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 13 | 
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