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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Man City
3 - 1
Aston Villa

Rodri (4'), Gundogan (39'), Mahrez (45+1' pen.)
Dias (41')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Watkins (61')
Digne (37'), Konsa (63')

The Match

Match Report

Rodri, Ilkay Gundogan and Riyad Mahrez are all on target in the first half as Manchester City defeat Aston Villa 3-1 at the Etihad Stadium.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Man City
Sunday, February 5 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Aston Villa

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-4 Leicester
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.95%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 6.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.41%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
Manchester CityDrawAston Villa
81.95% (-0.86999999999999 -0.87) 11.67% (0.535 0.54) 6.38% (0.3329 0.33)
Both teams to score 49.64% (-0.40799999999999 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.53% (-1.448 -1.45)28.47% (1.446 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.68% (-1.808 -1.81)49.32% (1.806 1.81)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.83% (-0.413 -0.41)5.17% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.53% (-1.241 -1.24)20.47% (1.24 1.24)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.35% (-0.203 -0.2)47.65% (0.20200000000001 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.03% (-0.15 -0.15)82.97% (0.148 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 81.94%
    Aston Villa 6.38%
    Draw 11.67%
Manchester CityDrawAston Villa
2-0 @ 10.8% (0.34 0.34)
3-0 @ 10.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.208 0.21)
3-1 @ 7.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 7.91% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.423 0.42)
4-1 @ 5.86% (-0.173 -0.17)
5-0 @ 4.69% (-0.245 -0.25)
5-1 @ 3.47% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-0 @ 2.31% (-0.19 -0.19)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.077 -0.08)
6-1 @ 1.72% (-0.152 -0.15)
5-2 @ 1.29% (-0.083 -0.08)
7-0 @ 0.98% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 81.94%
1-1 @ 5.41% (0.284 0.28)
2-2 @ 2.97% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.46% (0.206 0.21)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 11.67%
1-2 @ 2% (0.095 0.1)
0-1 @ 1.82% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 6.38%

How you voted: Man City vs Aston Villa

Manchester City
82.7%
Draw
10.9%
Aston Villa
6.4%
202
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
Aston Villa
1-1
Man City
Bailey (74')
Cash (26'), Digne (71')
Braut Haaland (50')
May 22, 2022 4pm
Man City
3-2
Aston Villa
Gundogan (76', 81'), Rodri (78')
Cash (37'), Coutinho (69')
Mings (49'), Nakamba (87')
Dec 1, 2021 8.15pm
Aston Villa
1-2
Man City
Watkins (47')
Dias (27'), Silva (43')
Apr 21, 2021 8.15pm
Aston Villa
1-2
Man City
McGinn (1')
Cash (54')
Cash (57')
Foden (22'), Rodri (40')
Gundogan (44')
Stones (44')
Jan 20, 2021 6pm
Man City
2-0
Aston Villa
Silva (79'), Gundogan (90' pen.)

McGinn (67'), Smith (81'), Taylor (86')
Smith (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool33247275314479
2Arsenal331812361273466
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331851062441859
5Manchester CityMan City33177964422258
6Chelsea33169858401857
7Aston Villa3316985347657
8Bournemouth3313101052401249
9Fulham33139114845348
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton33121295353048
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace331111114145-444
13Everton33814113440-638
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd33108153846-838
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33115174861-1338
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs331141861511037
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3399153755-1836
18Ipswich TownIpswich3349203371-3821
19Leicester CityLeicester3346232773-4618
20Southampton3325262478-5411
> Premier League Full Table


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