Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Southampton0 - 1Aston Villa
The Match
Match Report
Ollie Watkins' towering header hands Aston Villa all three points away to Southampton, who remain bottom of the table after their fourth successive defeat at St Mary's.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Everton 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Leeds
Friday, January 13 at 8pm in Premier League
Friday, January 13 at 8pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Aston Villa |
40.29% ( 0.08) | 26.1% ( -0.01) | 33.62% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
