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Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Aston Villa logo
Brighton
1 - 2
Aston Villa
Mac Allister (1')
Caicedo (57'), Gross (82'), De Zerbi (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ings (20' pen., 54')
Mings (26'), Cash (79'), Bailey (80'), Young (84'), Kamara (85'), Martinez (90+8'), McGinn (90+8')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Aston Villa

Brighton have never won four games in a row in all competitions during their Premier League era, but there is every reason for the Amex faithful to believe that a new chapter of history can be written this weekend, with De Zerbi's side possessing the golden touch in the final third. Villa have also shown plenty of attacking promise under Emery so far, but there will be no quick fix to their abysmal form on the road, and we expect the Seagulls to be flying high before the World Cup break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawAston Villa
55.96% (6.364 6.36) 23.3% (-1.519 -1.52) 20.74% (-4.848 -4.85)
Both teams to score 51.92% (-1.048 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.97% (1.451 1.45)48.03% (-1.457 -1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.8% (1.319 1.32)70.19% (-1.322 -1.32)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (2.984 2.98)16.98% (-2.988 -2.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.9% (5.045 5.05)47.09% (-5.051 -5.05)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.54% (-3.644 -3.64)37.45% (3.639 3.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.76% (-3.762 -3.76)74.24% (3.758 3.76)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 55.95%
    Aston Villa 20.74%
    Draw 23.29%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 11.27% (0.4 0.4)
2-0 @ 10% (1.235 1.24)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.318 0.32)
3-0 @ 5.91% (1.204 1.2)
3-1 @ 5.8% (0.701 0.7)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.083 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.62% (0.724 0.72)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.518 0.52)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.149 0.15)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.318 0.32)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.25 0.25)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 55.95%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.72 -0.72)
0-0 @ 6.36% (-0.392 -0.39)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.33 -0.33)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.29%
0-1 @ 6.25% (-1.076 -1.08)
1-2 @ 5.44% (-0.957 -0.96)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.902 -0.9)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.531 -0.53)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.284 -0.28)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.431 -0.43)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 20.74%

How you voted: Brighton vs Aston Villa

Brighton & Hove Albion
72.2%
Draw
14.8%
Aston Villa
13.0%
223
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3.30pm
Brighton
0-2
Aston Villa

Cucurella (16'), Trossard (25'), Bissouma (57'), Veltman (58')
Cash (17'), Watkins (68')
Cash (19'), Luiz (25'), Mings (40'), Watkins (40'), Martinez (83')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Aston Villa
2-0
Brighton
Watkins (84'), Mings (89')
Nakamba (59'), Konsa (90+3'), Cash (90+4')

Cucurella (49'), Webster (67'), Mac Allister (90+3')
Feb 13, 2021 8pm
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Aston Villa
1-2
Brighton
Konsa (47')
Targett (44'), Grealish (90+1')
Welbeck (12'), March (56')
Bissouma (69'), Lamptey (88')
Lamptey (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38285594336189
2Arsenal38266688434584
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd38236958431575
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381914568333571
5Liverpool381910975472867
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381881272531962
7Aston Villa38187135146561
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs38186147063760
9Brentford381514958461259
10Fulham38157165553252
11Crystal Palace381112154049-945
12Chelsea381111163847-944
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38118193158-2741
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham38117204255-1340
15Bournemouth38116213771-3439
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest38911183868-3038
17Everton38812183457-2336
RLeicester CityLeicester3897225168-1734
RLeeds UnitedLeeds38710214878-3031
RSouthampton3867253673-3725

Real Madrid Until The End
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