Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.46%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 6.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.23%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 
| 81.46% (  0.05) | 11.65% (  -0.03) | 6.89% (  -0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 53.28% (  0.03) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 74.15% (  0.08) | 25.85% (  -0.07) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 53.98% (  0.1) | 46.01% (  -0.09) | 
| Manchester City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 95.24% (  0.03) | 4.75% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 80.76% (  0.07) | 19.24% (  -0.06) | 
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 55.94% (  0.02) | 44.06% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.83% (  0.02) | 80.17% (  -0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Manchester City | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 
| 3-0 @ 9.87% (  -0) 2-0 @ 9.72% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 8.09% 2-1 @ 7.97% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 7.51% (  0.01) 1-0 @ 6.38% (  -0.02) 4-1 @ 6.16% (  0.01) 5-0 @ 4.58% (  0.01) 5-1 @ 3.75% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 3.32% (  0) 4-2 @ 2.52% (  0) 6-0 @ 2.32% (  0.01) 6-1 @ 1.91% (  0.01) 5-2 @ 1.54% (  0.01) 7-0 @ 1.01% (  0) Other @ 4.82% Total : 81.46% | 1-1 @ 5.23% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.27% (  -0) 0-0 @ 2.1% (  -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% (  0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 11.65% | 1-2 @ 2.14% (  -0) 0-1 @ 1.72% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 6.89% | 
 
 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 | 
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 | 
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 | 
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 | 
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 | 
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 | 
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 | 
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 | 
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 | 
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 | 
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 | 
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 | 
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 | 
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 | 
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 | 
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 | 
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 | 
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 | 
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 | 
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 | 
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