

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 84.82%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 5.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 4-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.27%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 84.82% ( | 9.74% ( | 5.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.18% ( | 21.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.36% ( | 40.64% ( |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.44% ( | 3.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 84.58% ( | 15.42% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.27% ( | 44.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.29% ( | 80.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 3-0 @ 9.85% 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 4-0 @ 8.21% ( 3-1 @ 7.92% ( 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 4-1 @ 6.61% ( 5-0 @ 5.48% ( 1-0 @ 5.31% ( 5-1 @ 4.41% ( 3-2 @ 3.19% 6-0 @ 3.05% ( 4-2 @ 2.66% 6-1 @ 2.45% ( 5-2 @ 1.77% ( 7-0 @ 1.45% ( 7-1 @ 1.17% ( 6-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 4.33% Total : 84.82% | 1-1 @ 4.27% ( 2-2 @ 2.87% 0-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 1.01% Total : 9.74% | 1-2 @ 1.72% 0-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.44% Total : 5.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 19 | 18 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 16 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 14 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Heracles | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Ajax | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 1 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
