Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 51.8% ( | 24.58% ( | 23.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.78% ( | 50.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.83% ( | 72.17% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.63% ( | 19.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.84% ( | 51.16% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.07% ( | 35.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.29% ( | 72.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% ( 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 3-0 @ 5.13% ( 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 51.8% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 3-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 1-3 @ 2.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 1.9% Total : 23.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
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