

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 30.89% ( | 25.09% ( | 44.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.56% ( | 47.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.35% ( | 69.65% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( | 28.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.35% ( | 64.64% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% ( | 21.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.37% ( | 54.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 2-0 @ 4.81% ( 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 3-0 @ 2% ( 4-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.89% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 9.53% ( 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0-2 @ 7.31% ( 1-3 @ 4.65% 0-3 @ 3.74% ( 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.47% Total : 44.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 73 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 81 | 35 | 46 | 65 |
| 3 | Ajax | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 62 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 60 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 53 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 52 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 38 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 38 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 32 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 31 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 30 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 28 |
| 17 | Groningen | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 16 |
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