Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 68.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 68.1% ( | 18.42% ( | 13.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.91% ( | 39.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.58% ( | 61.42% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.5% ( | 10.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.83% ( | 34.17% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.1% ( | 40.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.53% ( | 77.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-0 @ 10.9% ( 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 3-0 @ 8.19% ( 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 4-0 @ 4.62% ( 4-1 @ 4.13% ( 3-2 @ 3.28% 5-0 @ 2.08% ( 5-1 @ 1.86% ( 4-2 @ 1.85% ( Other @ 4.44% Total : 68.1% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.42% | 1-2 @ 3.87% ( 0-1 @ 3.84% ( 0-2 @ 1.72% ( 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 1-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 1.6% Total : 13.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 40 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 47 | 23 | 24 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
| 5 | Ajax | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 34 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 33 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 30 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 23 |
| 10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 19 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 19 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 19 |
| 14 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 19 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 15 |
| 16 | FC VolendamVolendam | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 13 |
| 17 | Cambuur | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 12 |
| 18 | Groningen | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
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