Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
| 47.99% ( | 26.77% ( | 25.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.76% ( | 57.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.92% ( | 78.08% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.1% ( | 23.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.89% ( | 58.11% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.66% ( | 38.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.9% ( | 75.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 13.11% ( 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 2-1 @ 9% ( 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 4-1 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 47.98% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0-0 @ 9.16% ( 2-2 @ 4.31% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0-2 @ 4.21% ( 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 1.57% Total : 25.24% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 54 |
| 2 | Dundee | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 50 |
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 45 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 43 |
| 6 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 28 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 26 |
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 25 |
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