MX23RW : Saturday, April 22 20:54:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Barrow
Bradford City
Carlisle United
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
Hartlepool United
Leyton Orient
Mansfield Town
Newport County
Northampton Town
Rochdale
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK at MEMS Priestfield Stadium
League Two | Gameweek 38
Gillingham
1 - 0
Carlisle
Williams (90+4')
MacDonald (45+3'), Hawkins (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garner (45+3'), Moxon (57'), Barclay (88'), Dennis (90+2'), Feeney (90+1')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 Crewe
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 0-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 0-2 Carlisle United

Gillingham may be riding the crest of a good-will wave, but they have scored 33 fewer goals and collected 25 fewer points than Carlisle for a reason this season; the Cumbrians may well bring their hosts back down to Earth if they can transfer their clear dominance onto the pitch this Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.26%) and 1-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawCarlisle United
29.49% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 28.55% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 41.96% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.72% (0.011999999999993 0.01)61.28% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)81.2% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.97%37.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.18% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)73.82% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (0.012999999999991 0.01)28.83% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (0.017000000000003 0.02)64.69% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 29.48%
    Carlisle United 41.96%
    Draw 28.54%
GillinghamDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.17%
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 29.48%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 10.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 13.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.26% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.42% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 3.4% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 41.96%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Carlisle

Gillingham
21.1%
Draw
5.3%
Carlisle United
73.7%
19
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Dec 19, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Carlisle
3-1
Gillingham
Hope (7', 37'), Miller (93')
Liddle (73'), Lambe (86'), Miller (92')
Wagstaff (47')
Clare (25'), Byrne (57'), Parker (66'), Ehmer (77'), O'Neill (91')
Dec 2, 2017 3pm
Second Round
Gillingham
1-1
Carlisle
O'Neill (5')
Clare (40')
Grainger (18' pen.)
Feb 8, 2014 3pm
Carlisle
1-2
Gillingham
Legge (90' og.)
Chimbonda (37'), Redmond (77')
Piggot (44'), McDonald (88')
Nov 2, 2013 3pm
Gillingham
1-0
Carlisle
Kedwell (63')
Legge (26')
Legge (82')

Livesey (10'), Amoo (53'), O'Hanlon (57')
Miller (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeyton Orient432512658292987
2Northampton TownNorthampton442214860402080
3Stevenage432113957391876
4Stockport CountyStockport4421121161362575
5Carlisle UnitedCarlisle442015963392475
6Salford City442191469511872
7Bradford CityBradford431915956381872
8Mansfield TownMansfield4320121168511772
9BarrowBarrow44188184649-362
10Swindon TownSwindon431513155851758
11Tranmere RoversTranmere441512174446-257
12Sutton UnitedSutton441512174453-957
13Grimsby Town431413164654-855
14Newport CountyNewport431314164750-353
15Gillingham441313183447-1352
16Doncaster RoversDoncaster44157224463-1952
17Walsall441118154448-451
18Crewe AlexandraCrewe421215154153-1251
19Colchester UnitedColchester441213194448-449
20AFC Wimbledon441114194758-1147
21Harrogate TownHarrogate431015185364-1145
22Crawley TownCrawley441112214769-2245
23Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool44815214876-2839
RRochdale44810264168-2734

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!