Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.