Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.2%) and 1-0 (4.82%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.