While Fenerbahce have won 10 of their 15 home league games this season – scoring at least two goals on 11 occasions – Trabzonspor have lost nine of their 15 away matches.
With that in mind, we expect the Yellow Canaries to notch another high-scoring victory at the Sukru Saracoglu Stadium, enhancing their title bid while heaping more away-day misery on Trabzonspor.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 72.44%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 11.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Trabzonspor win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.
1.12) 
-0.58) 
