Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 55.89% ( | 23.25% ( | 20.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.33% ( | 47.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.14% ( | 69.86% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.12% ( | 16.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.09% ( | 46.91% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.87% ( | 37.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.08% ( | 73.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% ( 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 3-0 @ 5.88% ( 3-1 @ 5.83% ( 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 4-1 @ 2.59% ( 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 5-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 55.88% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.24% | 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 1.67% Total : 20.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 36 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 73 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 67 |
| 3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 66 |
| 4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 60 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 60 |
| 7 | Salford City | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 59 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 56 |
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 55 |
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 52 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 51 |
| 12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 36 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 50 |
| 13 | Walsall | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 48 |
| 14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 48 |
| 15 | Grimsby Town | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 45 |
| 16 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
| 18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 36 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 42 |
| 19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 38 |
| 20 | Gillingham | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 38 |
| 21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 58 | -20 | 32 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 40 | 66 | -26 | 31 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 26 |
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