Osasuna will certainly be the fresher of the two teams heading into the contest, which should hand them an advantage. Arrasate's side have actually only drawn once at home in the league this season, but we just have a feeling that the points are going to be shared on Sunday afternoon.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.11) 
