Osasuna have only lost three of their 12 away league matches this season, drawing six times in the process, and we can see another draw here. Valencia are certainly stronger at home than they are on their travels, but it is difficult to back Los Che to triumph with any real confidence at the moment.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match.
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