

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Real Sociedad | 
| 31.13% ( | 26.81% ( | 42.06% ( | 
| Both teams to score 50.45% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 45.52% ( | 54.48% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.16% ( | 75.84% ( | 
| Valencia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.8% ( | 32.2% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.31% ( | 68.68% ( | 
| Real Sociedad Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.4% ( | 25.59% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.53% ( | 60.47% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Valencia | Draw | Real Sociedad | 
| 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 3-1 @ 2.72% ( 3-0 @ 2% ( 3-2 @ 1.86% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.13%  | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 2-2 @ 4.91% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.8%  | 0-1 @ 11.23% ( 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0-2 @ 7.65% ( 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0-4 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.06%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 | 
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 | 
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 | 
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 | 
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 | 
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 | 
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 | 
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 | 
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 | 
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 | 
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 | 
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 | 
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 | 
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 | 
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 | 
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
