Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.