Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
