Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 25, 2023 at 12.45pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

River Plate
3 - 2
Cerro

Castro (23'), Rivero (27'), Alfonso (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rodriguez (17'), Magallanes (90+2')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Cerro.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, February 19 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Cerro

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro 0-0 Maldonado
Saturday, February 18 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 41.64%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 27.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.18%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawCerro
41.64% (0.07 0.07)30.9% (-0.026 -0.03)27.46% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 38.17% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.06% (0.047999999999998 0.05)68.94% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.45% (0.032 0.03)86.55% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (0.067999999999998 0.07)32.92% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5% (0.074999999999999 0.07)69.5% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.91% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)43.09% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)79.37% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 41.64%
    Cerro 27.46%
    Draw 30.89%
River PlateDrawCerro
1-0 @ 15.76%
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.37% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 41.64%
0-0 @ 14.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-1 @ 13.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 30.89%
0-1 @ 11.94% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 27.46%

Head to Head
Jan 20, 2021 8pm
River Plate
1-2
Cerro
Gonzalez (28')
Quintana (35'), Arezo (54'), Olivera (90')
Cabrera (45+2'), Tancredi (56')
Gonzalez (16')
Feb 22, 2020 8pm
Cerro
0-0
River Plate

Paiva (32'), Brasil (66')
Gonzalez (86')

Ospitaleche (68'), Rodriguez (79'), Herrera (83'), Fernandez (84')
Oct 16, 2019 8pm
Cerro
3-2
River Plate
Viera (15'), Lopez (45' pen.), Acosta (79')
Gonzalez (33'), Lopez (65'), Nunez (74')
Gonzalez (48')
Rodriguez (26'), Alonso (50' pen.)
Mar 24, 2019 7pm
River Plate
2-1
Cerro
Plada (49'), Urruti (80')
Alonso (11'), Ospitaleche (35'), Ale (57')
Peraza (55')
Pellejero (11'), Brasil (16'), Alonso (58'), Roldan (74'), Tancredi (76'), Izquierdo (93')
Pellejero (82')
Oct 14, 2018 8pm
Cerro
4-2
River Plate
Lopez (10'), Zazpe (78'), Acevedo (86'), Acuna (91')
Izquierdo (5'), Zazpe (49'), Klein (54')
Nunez (50' og.), Manuel Olivera (69' pen.)
Ale (54'), Ospitaleche (75')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor22005326
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers22003126
3PenarolPenarol21103124
4LiverpoolLiverpool20201102
5Cerro Largo201134-11
6CerroCerro201112-11
7Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia201113-21
8River PlateRiver Plate200213-20
Group 2
1Racing de MontevideoRacing22003036
2DanubioDanubio22003036
3NacionalNacional22003126
4Juventud21015503
5Boston RiverBoston River210134-13
6Montevideo City TorqueTorque200235-20
7ProgresoProgreso200202-20
8Miramar Misiones200203-30
 
Apertura
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing156541410423
7Boston RiverBoston River156451617-122
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia155461313019
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro153661320-714
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14DanubioDanubio151951217-512
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812
16River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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