Penarol

2 - 0

Cerro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 22.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.