Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.