Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 72.76%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Oster had a probability of 10.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.12%) and 3-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a Oster win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Malmo in this match.