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Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2025 at 3.30am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
Real Salt Lake

LA Galaxy
2 - 0
Salt Lake

Sanabria (17', 17'), Paintsil (55', 55')
Parente (54'), Parente (54'), Cerrillo (90+2'), Cerrillo (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Vera (75'), Vera (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.55%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawReal Salt Lake
40.72% (-1.922 -1.92)23.22% (-0.282 -0.28)36.06% (2.207 2.21)
Both teams to score 64.32% (1.623 1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.9% (1.9 1.9)37.1% (-1.897 -1.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.7% (2.023 2.02)59.3% (-2.019 -2.02)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.29% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)18.71% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.94% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)50.06% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.12% (2.033 2.03)20.88% (-2.031 -2.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.41% (3.088 3.09)53.58% (-3.085 -3.09)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 40.72%
    Real Salt Lake 36.06%
    Draw 23.21%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-0 @ 6.55% (-0.631 -0.63)
2-0 @ 5.49% (-0.536 -0.54)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.76% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.303 -0.3)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 40.72%
1-1 @ 10.25% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-2 @ 6.73% (0.193 0.19)
0-0 @ 3.91% (-0.371 -0.37)
3-3 @ 1.97% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.239 0.24)
0-1 @ 6.12% (-0.185 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.19% (0.366 0.37)
2-3 @ 3.52% (0.303 0.3)
0-3 @ 2.5% (0.221 0.22)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.232 0.23)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.193 0.19)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 36.06%

Head to Head
Apr 5, 2025 9.30pm
Salt Lake
2-0
LA Galaxy
Luna (21', 26')
Vera (2'), Katranis (70'), Marczuk (73')

Lepley (72'), Jorgensen (89')
Jun 23, 2024 2.30am
May 12, 2024 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-2
Salt Lake
Pec (54'), Berry (90+4')
Aude (18')
Arango (20', 40')
Crooks (23')
Oct 15, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-2
Salt Lake
Joveljic (7'), Costa (34')
Alfaro (66'), Aguirre (75')
Julio (45+1'), Luna (76')
Eneli (54')
Jun 8, 2023 2.30am
Quarter-Finals
Salt Lake
3-2
LA Galaxy
Kreilach (19', 45+6' pen.), Savarino (51')
Glad (32'), Kreilach (56'), Eneli (61')
Brugman (82' pen.), Costa (84')
Neal (59')