Philadelphia3 - 2LA Galaxy
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
for
Sunday, May 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
for
We said: Philadelphia Union 2-0 Los Angeles Galaxy
Despite the Philadelphia's failure to win in this fixture in 13 years, LA Galaxy's poor form in 2025 presents a huge opportunity for Carnell's men, and we are backing the Union to extend the away side's winless streak to 13 matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
44.72% ( -5.96) | 23.02% ( -0.4) | 32.25% ( 6.35) |
| Both teams to score 63.85% ( 5.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
